Board Thread:The Last Sovereign Discussion/@comment-27713488-20181103233945/@comment-31763506-20190724222134

I think you're ignoring the caveat I prefaced the post you're quoting with, and overestimating the degree of confidence I'm putting in my conclusion. This is a spec thread, so improbable solutions are on the table so long as they're interesting improbable solutions, and the ingame universe of TLS has magic, so approaching it with a rigorously scientific mindset is not necessarily a valid approach.

Now, if we are looking at things in a rigorously scientific manner, which I kind of do by default, I think it's a bit more likely that my theory on Ulrissa is the correct one. (If you're looking at Tanurak in isolation, I think it may be more likely that he's much older.) How confident am I that I'm right about Ulrissa? Not very. Only 60% or 70% confident.

I imagine we'll be learning at least a bit more in 0.44, so...